仔细看看FOMC 9月的会议 - 它可以高达多少?

脸谱网 推特 Pinterest. linkedin 邮件

三个例识,全部更愿意增加联邦资金率在9月份会议上,重点关注同一核心论证:目前的失业率率发出了一个紧张的劳动力市场,将持续几年,推动通货膨胀更接近目标和风险如果货币政策规范化延迟过长,则过度冲进。过冲可能需要更快的利率速度增加,可以危及扩张,以及委员会的可信度。

从9月份的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议记录(FOMC)详细委员会在经济前景的信心,风险的平衡以及货币政策的立场的影响方面进行了广泛的协议。将成员与共识分开的问题是,失业率是否准确反映了劳动力市场中的懈怠和历史经验的相关性。

加息的理由是:“一些与会者指出,他们预计失业率将略低于其长期正常水平,并认为未来几年收紧货币政策可能是合适的。一些与会者提到了历史上的一些事例,当时失业率似乎远远低于估计的长期正常水平。他们观察到,在这些时期收紧货币政策后,通常会出现衰退和失业率大幅上升。”

The argument against: “Some others judged this historical experience to be of limited applicability in the present environment because the economy was growing only modestly above trend, inflation was below the Committee’s 2 percent objective, and inflation expectations were low—circumstances that differed markedly from those earlier episodes. Moreover, the increase in labor force participation over the past year suggested that there could be greater scope for economic growth without putting undue pressure on labor markets; it was also noted that the longer-run normal rate of unemployment could be lower than previously thought, with a similar implication.”

妥协:“有人指出,可以在本次会议上增加合理的论点或等待有关劳动力市场和通货膨胀的一些额外信息。

......

一些成员认为,如果委员会预期的经济发展展开的经济发展,将增加联邦基金利率的目标范围是适当的。they saw the new sentence in the third paragraph of the Committee’s statement—a sentence indicating that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate had strengthened but that the Committee had decided, for the time being, to wait for further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives—as reflecting this view.”

期待12月增加。



标签:

1回复

  1. 更不用说将被保险投资的退休人员收入减少约400%。银行的不存在回报和CD存款使许多老年人投资于更远的风险投资,并至少在兼职的基础上迫使许多人进入劳动力市场。

留下一个回复

您的电子邮件地址不会被公开。必需的地方已做标记*

这个网站使用Akismet来减少垃圾邮件。了解如何处理评论数据

%D.博客是这样的: